A few weeks ago we discussed how you can make 12% annually, forever, from stocks. Now let’s apply those lessons to 2017, and highlight five that should do even better (17%+ returns) this year (and likely beyond).
Remember, projecting our returns from any given stock is simple. We simply add together the three ways it can pay us:
Its current dividend.
A future dividend hike.
It also helps if the stock is inexpensive, as buybacks deliver more bang for management’s buck. So let’s stick with stocks that are dirt-cheap, trading for 10-times free cash flow (FCF) or less for this exercise.
Here’s an example of a stock ready to return 17% or more over the next year. Blue chip refiner Valero (VLO) has a great management team that knows how to make money no matter what happens with energy prices.
Top 5 Cheap Stocks To Own Right Now: Kohl’s Corporation(KSS)
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Cramer and the AAP team say their favorite part of the Kohl’s (KSS) story is its ties with Amazon (AMZN) . Find out what they’re telling their investment club members and get in on the conversation with a free trial subscription to Action Alerts PLUS.
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Walmart (WMT) was already on my “Best Short Ideas” list, and I added Kohl’s (KSS) and Target (TGT) to the roster on Thursday morning.
Some reasons for my bearishness on retail stocks:
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The reluctance of millennials to spend their tax cuts could hurt the stock prices of many consumer companies. Shares of department stores such as Kohl’s (KSS) and an electronics retailer like Best Buy (BBY) have run up this year on expectations of consumers shopping till they drop this spring/summer. Considering there are more than 83 million millennials in the U.S., that’s a big pool of humans letting down some of the country’s biggest companies.
- [By Jeremy Bowman]
The relationship between the P/E ratio and the dividend yield is important to understand here. The lower a company’s valuation is, the more valuable the dividend becomes as the dividend yield increases. For instance, with a P/E ratio of about 12,Kohl’s(NYSE: KSS) could be considered a value stock, and itsdividend yields a respectable 3.9%. Its payout ratio — the percentage of earnings that go to its dividend or dividend per share divided by earnings per share — is also modest at 48%. Eighty percent is considered the maximum that dividend stocks should aim for in order to leave adequate cash flow for other needs.
Top 5 Cheap Stocks To Own Right Now: International Business Machines Corporation(IBM)
- [By Money Morning Staff Reports]
The 1,610 cryptocurrencies on CoinMarketCap.com have a total market cap of $404 billion, making them worth more than Twitter Inc. (NYSE: TWTR), Snap Inc. (NYSE: SNAP), International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM), and Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE: DVMT) combined.
- [By Paul Ausick]
The Dow stock posting the largest daily percentage loss ahead of the close Wednesday was International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM) which traded down 7.68% at $148.54. The stock’s 52-week range is $139.13 to $171.13. Volume was more than three times the daily average of around 5.3 million. The company reported quarterly earnings last night and investors didn’t like what the saw or heard.
- [By Danny Vena]
When International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM) reported its fourth-quarter financial results in January, investors got news they had waited nearly six long years to hear: The company had finally returned to growth after 22 consecutive quarters of year-over-year revenue declines.
- [By Chris Neiger, Nicholas Rossolillo, and Rich Duprey]
Chris Neiger (IBM): Investors who are looking for a stock that has a strong dividend, with decades of annual increases,and that’s trading at a discount may want to consider IBM. The tech company pays its shareholders a dividend yield of 3.8% right now, it has a solid 22-year track record of raising it, and its shares trade at just 10.5 times the company’s forward earnings.
- [By Chris Neiger]
Salon Media Group is testing a blockchain ledger created by International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM) to record ad-buying contracts, impression data, and how much Salon will be paid for the ads. Additionally, Unilever has begun using IBM’s blockchain to buy some ads in the U.S. and keep track of its transactions. Tech executives rank IBM as one of the top blockchain companies in 2017, with 43% rating IBM’s blockchain tech above all its competitors’ systems, according to Juniper Research.
Top 5 Cheap Stocks To Own Right Now: Wendy’s/Arby’s Group Inc.(WEN)
- [By Jeremy Bowman]
The chart below shows how McDonald’s compares with some of its closest peers based on its valuation and expected growth rate.
Company P/E Ratio 2-Year Expected EPS Growth Rate
McDonald’s (NYSE:MCD) 26.2 23.6%
Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) 26.2 27.3%
Wendy’s (NASDAQ:WEN) 21.8 58.1%
Restaurant Brands International(NYSE:QSR) 21.4 41.9%
Yum! Brands(NYSE:YUM) 23.2 29.7%
Data source: Yahoo! Finance. EPS = earnings per share.
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In the Lightning Round, Cramer was bullish on Spirit AeroSystems (SPR) , Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) , Dunkin Brands (DNKN) and Wendy’s (WEN) .
Cramer was bearish on Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) and Univar (UNVR) .
- [By Lisa Levin]
Companies Reporting After The Bell
Marriott International, Inc. (NASDAQ: MAR) is projected to post quarterly earnings at $1.22 per share on revenue of $5.72 billion.
Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ: EA) is estimated to post quarterly earnings at $1.04 per share on revenue of $5.68 billion.
The Walt Disney Company (NYSE: DIS) is projected to post quarterly earnings at $1.68 per share on revenue of $14.05 billion.
Papa John's International, Inc. (NASDAQ: PZZA) is expected to post quarterly earnings at $0.62 per share on revenue of $441.73 million.
Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc (NASDAQ: JAZZ) is projected to post quarterly earnings at $2.77 per share on revenue of $434.87 million.
Sun Life Financial Inc. (NYSE: SLF) is estimated to post quarterly earnings at $0.89 per share on revenue of $6.38 billion.
LATAM Airlines Group S.A. (NYSE: LTM) is expected to post quarterly earnings at $0.16 per share on revenue of $2.70 billion.
Liberty Global plc (NASDAQ: LBTYA) is projected to post quarterly earnings at $0.02 per share on revenue of $4.05 billion.
TripAdvisor, Inc. (NASDAQ: TRIP) is expected to post quarterly earnings at $0.16 per share on revenue of $362.11 million.
The Wendy's Company (NASDAQ: WEN) is projected to post quarterly earnings at $0.1 per share on revenue of $379.98 million.
A-Mark Precious Metals, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMRK) is expected to post quarterly earnings at $0.06 per share on revenue of $1.69 billion.
Monster Beverage Corporation (NASDAQ: MNST) is estimated to post quarterly earnings at $0.4 per share on revenue of $849.38 million.
Convergys Corporation (NYSE: CVG) is expected to post quarterly earnings at $0.4 per share on revenue of $670.10 million.
ScanSource, Inc. (NASDAQ: SCSC) is projected to post quarterly earnings at $0.7 per share on revenue of $875.91 million.
KAR Auction Services, Inc. (NYSE: KAR) is expected to post quarterly earnings at $0.76 per share on revenue of $923.13
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Throughout its history, Starbucks has mostly had a company-owned model for its retail locations, a strategy that is at odds with a trend of activist investors pushing fast food, restaurant and coffee companies to franchise locations out to raise cash for stock buybacks and debt reduction. In recent years, activists have targeted Jamba Juice (JMBA) , Potbelly (PBPB) , Jack in the Box (JACK) , Wendys Co. (WEN) , McDonald’s (MCD) and elsewhere. In addition, Starbucks has a one-share, one-vote structure, which can make it vulnerable to an activist investor seeking to elect dissident director candidates as it pursued the strategy.
Top 5 Cheap Stocks To Own Right Now: UnitedHealth Group Incorporated(UNH)
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UnitedHealth Group’s (UNH) $2.8 billion purchase of Chile-based health insurer Empresas Banm茅dica seems to be paying off, giving a boost to the company’s full-year outlook.
- [By Paul Ausick]
UnitedHealth Group Inc. (NYSE: UNH) traded up 1.89% at $232.95. The stock’s 52-week range is $156.09 to $235.00, a new 52-week high set this afternoon. Volume was nearly double the daily average of around 2.9 million shares. The company’s fourth-quarter earnings and forecast for 2018 were better than expected.
- [By Lee Jackson]
Recently the managers removed AmerisourceBergen Corp (NYSE: ABC) and used the proceeds from the sale to increase the position they already held in Unitedhealth Group Inc. (NYSE: UNH).
- [By Garrett Baldwin]
Market fears of an escalating Middle Eastern conflict abated thanks to last week’s military strikes against the Syrian government. On Friday, April 13, U.S. forces joined the United Kingdom and France in retaliation for a chemical gas attack carried out by the Syrian government. The military exercise came at a time that tensions are also rising in the Middle East between Saudi Arabia and Iran.
Today, several members of the U.S. Federal Reserve will be speaking at events around the globe, including San Francisco Fed President John Williams and Chicago Fed Bank President Charles Evans. But no one will be more watched today than Fed Gov. Randal Quarles, who will testify before the U.S. House Financial Services Commission. Quarles will provide testimony on the central bank’s plans to regulate and oversee the financial system. Expect a wealth of questions about the Fed’s plans to raise interest rates and manage its massive balance sheet. Money MorningLiquidity SpecialistLee Adler offers you advice on how to play the Fed’s problems, right here.
Four Stocks to Watch Today: GS, NFLX, TSLA, and ROKU
Shares of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) added 0.6% after the Wall Street bank easily topped Q1 earnings and revenue estimates. The firm reportedearnings per share (EPS) of $6.95 on top of more than $10 billion in revenue. Analysts projected EPS of $5.67 on top of $8.89 billion. The investment bank hiked its quarterly dividend and said that revenue from equity trading rallied thanks to an uptick in recent market volatility.
Shares of Tesla Inc. (Nasdaq: TSLA) are flat on the news that the firm will suspend production of its Model 3 vehicles. The firm said the temporary halt in production will aim to “improve automation” and address ongoing bottlenecks in its production process.
Shares of Roku Inc. (Nasdaq: ROKU) popped more than 8.2% on news that Steven Cohen’s family office has taken a passive 5.1% stake in the company. The streaming device manufactur
- [By Paul Ausick]
The DJIA stock posting the largest daily percentage loss ahead of the close Monday was UnitedHealth Group Inc. (NYSE: UNH) which traded down 1.57% at $225.13. The stock’s 52-week range is $156.09 to $231.77. Volume was about 30% below the daily average of around 3 million. The healthcare company had no specific news.
Top 5 Cheap Stocks To Own Right Now: Emerson Electric Company(EMR)
- [By Benzinga News Desk]
Former President George H.W. Bush has been hospitalized in Houston with an infection, just after attending the funeral of his wife, Barbara, a spokesman said Monday: Link
Redbook Reports US Retail Sales During First 2 Weeks Of Apr. Up 0.3% MoM, Up 2.8% YoY
USA S&P/CaseShiller House Price Index (MoM) for Feb Up 0.7% MoM
New home sales report for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
The Conference Board’s consumer sentiment index for April is schedule for release at 10:00 a.m. ET.
The Richmond Fed manufacturing index for April will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
The Treasury is set to auction 4-and 52-week bills at 11:30 a.m. ET.
The Treasury will auction 2-year notes at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Leerink upgraded Cardinal Health (NYSE: CAH) from Market Perform to Outperform
Berenberg upgraded Emerson Electric (NYSE: EMR) from Sell to Hold
Mizuho downgraded Skyworks (NASDAQ: SWKS) from Buy to Neutral
BMO downgraded Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ: TXRH) from Outperform to Market Perform
This is a tool used by the Benzinga News Desk each trading day — it's a look at everything happening in the market, in five minutes. To get the full version of this note every morning, click here.
- [By Lisa Levin]
Analysts at Berenberg upgraded Emerson Electric Co. (NYSE: EMR) from Sell to Hold.
Emerson Electric shares fell 0.43 percent to close at $69.90 on Monday.
- [By Stephan Byrd]
Here are some of the headlines that may have effected Accern Sentiment Analysis’s analysis:
Get Emerson Electric alerts:
Stocks This Week: Wells Fargo, Emerson Electric and CSX (finance.yahoo.com) Emerson Electric (EMR) & Philips (PHG) Financial Review (americanbankingnews.com) Emerson Electric (EMR) Given Consensus Rating of “Hold” by Brokerages (americanbankingnews.com) Is It Time To Buy Emerson Electric Co (NYSE:EMR)? (finance.yahoo.com) Emerson Electric: An Autonomous Future (seekingalpha.com)
EMR has been the topic of a number of research reports. Zacks Investment Research raised shares of Emerson Electric from a “hold” rating to a “buy” rating and set a $78.00 price objective on the stock in a research note on Thursday, February 8th. UBS initiated coverage on shares of Emerson Electric in a research note on Monday, January 22nd. They issued a “buy” rating and a $73.26 price objective on the stock. Cowen reissued a “buy” rating and issued a $78.00 price objective on shares of Emerson Electric in a research note on Wednesday, April 18th. Stifel Nicolaus increased their price objective on shares of Emerson Electric from $79.00 to $80.00 and gave the company a “buy” rating in a research note on Thursday, May 3rd. Finally, Berenberg Bank raised shares of Emerson Electric from a “sell” rating to a “hold” rating and set a $69.00 price objective on the stock in a research note on Tuesday, April 24th. They noted that the move was a valuation call. Two investment analysts have rated the stock with a sell rating, eight have issued a hold rating and eight have given a buy rating to the stock. Emerson Electric has a consensus rating of “Hold” and a consensus price target of $73.00.
- [By Logan Wallace]
D.A. Davidson & CO. lifted its position in shares of Emerson Electric (NYSE:EMR) by 1.3% in the first quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The fund owned 574,584 shares of the industrial products company’s stock after buying an additional 7,640 shares during the period. Emerson Electric makes up about 0.8% of D.A. Davidson & CO.’s holdings, making the stock its 25th biggest holding. D.A. Davidson & CO.’s holdings in Emerson Electric were worth $39,244,000 at the end of the most recent reporting period.